Pakistan's National Tariff Commission (NTC) has finalized a five-year anti-dumping action against soda ash imports from Türkiye and Kenya, concluding that unfairly low-priced shipments had damaged local producers. The definitive duties, effective retroactively from January 15, 2026, aim to shield domestic manufacturers from continued price undercutting. Main Developments Following a year-long investigation, the NTC imposed definitive anti-dumping duties ranging from 4.49% to 6.58% on Turkish producers, while Kenyan imports face a higher rate of 13.54%. All other Turkish exporters will pay 6.58%. The Commission found that dumped soda ash—classified under PCT Code 2836.2000—caused material injury through price undercutting, declining sales and market share, reduced productivity, and adverse effects on cash flows and profitability. The duties equal the calculated injury margin, designed to be just enough to remove the harm. Read also: 3 key reasons FPCCI seeks NEPRA tariff awareness session Two domestic producers, Lucky Core Industries Limited and Olympia Chemical Limited, filed the initial application that triggered the probe on July 18, 2025. Provisional duties of 3.49% to 12.54% had been in place since January 2026. Background Soda ash is a critical industrial raw material used in detergents, glass manufacturing, chemicals, paper, and metallurgy. Pakistan's domestic industry had been competing against imports it alleged were sold below fair market value. The NTC initiated its investigation in mid-2025 after receiving a formal complaint from Lucky Core Industries and Olympia Chemical. The Commission's affirmative final determination confirmed that dumping had occurred and that it materially injured the local sector. Why It Matters The duties protect a strategic domestic industry that supplies essential inputs to multiple downstream sectors. Without the measure, continued dumped imports could have forced local producers to cut output or exit the market, disrupting supply chains for glass, detergents, and chemicals. However, the Commission exempted soda ash used as input for export-oriented products or foreign grant-in-aid projects, ensuring that Pakistan's export competitiveness and aid-funded development are not undermined. What's Next The duties remain in force for five years from January 15, 2026, and will be collected in addition to other applicable taxes and duties. The NTC has made the detailed non-confidential report of its final determination available in the public file and on its official website, allowing stakeholders to review the evidence.